Calafiori or Mbeumo: who to captain in FPL Gameweek 8?

Calafiori (5.7 expected points v EVE (H)) or Mbeumo (5.5 expected points v BOU (H)) as your FPL Gameweek 8 captain? By our numbers Calafiori is the more likely to outscore him, about 51% to 49%. For a transfer, over the next six: Mbeumo 32.3 against Calafiori 30.2, for £1.9m more. Chance to score, minutes, form, price and ownership side by side.

• Calafiori (ARS, DEF, £5.9m): 5.7 expected points v EVE (H), 49% clean-sheet chance
• Mbeumo (MUN, MID, £7.8m): 5.5 expected points v BOU (H), 37% to score