Gabriel or Mbeumo: who to captain in FPL Gameweek 8?

Gabriel (5.7 expected points v EVE (H)) or Mbeumo (5.5 expected points v BOU (H)) as your FPL Gameweek 8 captain? By our numbers Gabriel is the more likely to outscore him, about 51% to 49%. For a transfer, over the next six: Mbeumo 32.3 against Gabriel 30.5, for £0.1m less. Chance to score, minutes, form, price and ownership side by side.

• Gabriel (ARS, DEF, £7.9m): 5.7 expected points v EVE (H), 49% clean-sheet chance
• Mbeumo (MUN, MID, £7.8m): 5.5 expected points v BOU (H), 37% to score