Rogers or Gabriel: who to captain in FPL Gameweek 8?

Rogers (5.8 expected points v TOT (H)) or Gabriel (5.7 expected points v EVE (H)) as your FPL Gameweek 8 captain? By our numbers Rogers is the more likely to outscore him, about 51% to 49%. For a transfer, over the next six: Rogers 30.8 against Gabriel 30.5, for the same price. Chance to score, minutes, form, price and ownership side by side.

• Rogers (CHE, MID, £7.9m): 5.8 expected points v TOT (H), 31% to score
• Gabriel (ARS, DEF, £7.9m): 5.7 expected points v EVE (H), 49% clean-sheet chance